Alright. So. I feel a little bit inspired right now. Being mentally unable to force myself to study structures (seen too much of it), stats (I'm serious, there's nothing there) and econ (pretty much caught up now, plus :( open book) and just plain unwilling to shower or do laundry I am going to attempt to bastardize some theory in order to address this
post on Reddit. It reminded me of one of the things you said during one of the previous conversations we've had, YST, and I hope you recall it too because it means that someone is reading this :D
Assumptions Given a sample population P, consisting purely of heterosexual, bisexual, and homosexual males and females.
Let bisexual= a 3 on the kinsey scale, i.e. 50/50 for the math.
Assume that 90% of a population is heterosexual, 7% is bisexual, and 3% is homosexual (proportions approximated from wikipedia)
Assume 10% chance of success with someone of compatible orientation, for the sake of calculations.
Let number of females = number of males.
Assume gaydar does not exist, depression and desperation is equally distributed among groups.
CalculationsProbability that a person will experience homosexual attraction - 10%
Probability that a person will experience heterosexual attraction - 97%
The pool of attractive people is the portion of the population that a subject could fined potentially attractive, based purely on biological criteria for simplicity.
Pool of attractive people for a heterosexual person - 0.5P
Pool of attractive people for a bisexual person - 1.0P
Pool of attractive people for a homosexual person - 0.5P
The compatible pool is a subset of the attractive pool that could potentially find the subject attractive, based purely on biological criteria for simplicity.
Pool of compatible people for a heterosexual person - 0.485P
Pool of compatible people for a bisexual person - 0.535P
Pool of compatible people for a homosexual person - 0.05P
Overall success rate is calculated as (attempt success rate*compatible/attractive)
Overall success rate for a heterosexual person - 9.7%
Overall success rate for a bisexual person - 5.35%
Overall success rate for a homosexual person - 0.5%
For reference, an asexual person has a attractive pool of 0.0, a compatible pool of 0.0, and a success rate of 100%.
A foreveralone has an attractive pool of >=0.0, a compatible pool of >=0.0, and a success rate of 0.0%.
Ok. Now we will attempt to apply Methods of Economic Analysis onto the poor dataset. But we can't.
People in general aren't looking to maximize their bedpost notches. Eventually they start looking for The One. Once they have found The One, they will stop looking. Assume that The One can be found after an average of ten successes. Nobody is reading this. A person will want to find The One in the minimum possible time. Therefore it is easier when the success rate is higher. The heterosexual subject clearly has a statistical edge using this method, as well as in reality. Statistically speaking, of course.
(Whenever people in rom coms talk about finding The One I think, "Mr. Anderson to aisle six, Mr. Anderson to aisle six." Poor Neo.)
On the other hand The Economic Methods favours maximum bedpost notches, until diminishing returns kicks in hard enough. The bisexual subject has a slightly larger pool of compatible people than the heterosexual subject and thus a larger potential number of successes. This is also at a significantly lower success rate.
I could also try evaluating the alternatives by putting a cost on every attempt made, every rejected attempt, every successful attempt, finding The One, and so on, but, no.
Final point - according to the numbers the homosexual subject gets the crappy end of the stick, having the lowest statistical success rate and compatibility pool. If gaydar exists in real life, then this is why.
For 221 and sunshine - it was mentioned either on Friday or Saturday that one could prevent oneself from falling for another, or effect damage control and stuff. So,
this is part of the thread linked above, approaching another side - is it possible to, through determination, allow oneself to be attracted to someone who would normally be found nonattractive for whatever reason? (I agree somewhat with some of the comments.)
And for anyone else, the
video mentioned, since the ad site is down.